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The Dairy Blues

Dairy fans, brace yourselves. Cheese prices have slipped this week, and CME spot butter? Let’s just say it’s skating at its lowest non-COVID price in over a decade.

So what's going on with dairy? Flashback to 1993: the Cowboys were hoisting the Lombardi Trophy, and America’s milk cow herd was massive. Fast forward to now — that herd is again at its largest since that Super Bowl. Coincidence? Maybe not.

Milk producers have been adding margin by crossbreeding beef calves with their dairy cows — the ag world’s version of building a “super team.” But even super teams can struggle when the scoreboard looks rough.

October’s All Milk Price Received is estimated at its lowest for that month in seven years — down a jaw-dropping 25% since January. That’s rougher than a Buffalo Bills playoff loss (sorry, Bills Mafia).

Bottom line: milk farmer margins are declining.

With cheese and butter markets trending bearish, this might be the perfect moment to revisit price caps — contracts that let buyers ride the wave down while staying protected.

We can help you with this. Hit us up at the links above — let’s talk strategy before the next whistle blows.